18  Risk assessment report

18.1 Examples

Risk assessment for measles resurgence in the UK

Rapid risk assessment: Measles in Canada, public health implications in 2024

18.2 Data

  1. Historical case notification of past outbreaks 2014 and 2019 Date of onset + date of birth (or age)

  2. Current level of susceptibility in HCMC:

  • Serology
  • Vaccine registry
  • Birth rates
  1. Connectivity between Phu Quoc and HCMC: Flight data / boat data?

P = 1 – (1 / (R0 * s))^m